东坝大马灯起源于唐代,灵感源于汉代“骆驼载乐”的表演形式。到了明代,已是商贸重镇的东坝虽庙会繁盛,但春节期间大型娱乐活动匮乏,当地结合水乡多船少马的特点,以竹为骨、绒为皮,饰以马鞍缰绳、铜铃等,创制出可由两人共驭的巨型竹马。演出时,随着乐器伴奏,马队交替布阵,扮演刘备、关羽、张飞等三国人物的演员跃马出征,逐渐形成“七马出征”的固定阵型,成为“江南一绝”。2008年,东坝大马灯入选国家级非物质文化遗产名录。
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But in the worst worst-case scenario, we don’t have any control. Instead, the station will crack through the atmosphere. Sure, many pieces will likely end up in the ocean, but some might hit people, possibly in a town or a city. The station could break apart across thousands of miles and multiple continents. This would be exceedingly hard to anticipate. As NASA puts it, “Calculating the probability of this penetration cascading into loss of deorbit capability has a very large range of variables, making predictions ineffective.”
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